XXV. mezinárodní kolokvium o regionálních vědách. Sborník příspěvků

Kapitola

A Rose by Another Name Would Smell the Same: Hidden Potential of Antisystem Parties in Slovakia?

Tomáš Černěnko, Dana Kuběnková
Rok vydání: 2022

https://doi.org/10.5817/CZ.MUNI.P280-0068-2022-55
A Rose by Another Name Would Smell the Same: Hidden Potential of Antisystem Parties in Slovakia? pdf, 831KB

Abstrakt

This article aims to identify voter attitudes, based on the results of the 2020 parliamentary elections, towards European integration, religious attitudes in politics, universal left-right integration, the rights of ethnic minorities, the position between cosmopolitan and national sentiments, and political decentralization in favour of regions at the district level of Slovakia, while considering factors that affect voter's selection. In the first step, we calculated the position of the district through the results of individual political parties (district level) in the elections to the National Council of the Slovak Republic in 2020 and data from the 2019 Chapel Hill expert survey. In the second step, we used these results as dependent variables for regression analysis, examining their dependence on the variables average wage, unemployment rate, ethnic composition, and time availability of the district's seat from the regional centre and Bratislava (capital). A retrospective analysis of voter attitudes at individual districts has shown that concerns about possible covert support for anti-system parties are warranted. “Negative” results, especially on religious principles in politics, ethnic minority rights, inclination to national values, and centralized power, show that if expectations from standard (or liberal democratic) parties are not met, there is a risk of voters diverting to radical parties.

Reference

[1] ARZHEIMER, K., (2009). Contextual Factors and the Extreme Right Vote in Western Europe, 1980-2002. American Journal of Political Science, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 259-275. ISSN 0092-5853. DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00369.x.

[2] BECKER, S. O., FETZER, T., NOVY, D., (2017). Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis. Economic Policy, vol. 32, no. 92, pp. 601-650. ISSN 0266-4658. DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eix012.

[3] CHAPEL HILL EXPERT SURVEY, (2020). Codebook 2019 Chapel Hill Expert Survey (May 2020) [online]. [cit. 2022-03-15]. Available at: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5975c9bfdb29d6a05c65209b/t/5fa04ec05d3c8218b7c91450/1604341440585/2019_CHES_codebook.pdf.

[4] DIJKSTRA, L., POELMAN, H., RODRÍGUEZ-POSE, A., (2020). The geography of EU discontent. Regional Studies, vol. 54, no. 6, pp. 737-753. ISSN 0034-3404. DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2019.1654603.

[5] IVARSFLATEN, E., (2005). The vulnerable populist right parties: No economic realignment fuelling their electoral success. European Journal of Political Research, vol. 44, no. 3, pp. 465-492. ISSN 0304-4130. DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.2005.00235.x.

[6] LUBBERS, M., SCHEEPERS, P., (2007). Euro-scepticism and extreme voting patterns in Europe. Social cleavages and socio-political attitudes determining voting for the far left, the far right, and non-voting. In Loosveldt, G., Swyngedouw, M., Cambré, B. (eds). Measuring Meaningful Data in Social Research. Leuven/ Voorburg: Acco, pp. 71–92. ISBN 9789033468292.

[7] MUDDE, C., (2007). Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe. New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9780511492037.

[8] MUDDE, C., (2013) Three decades of populist radical right parties in Western Europe: So what?. European Journal of Political Research, vol. 52, no. 1, pp. 1-19. ISSN 0304-4130. DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.2012.02065.x.

[9] PIRRO, A. L. P., (2014). Populist Radical Right Parties in Central and Eastern Europe: The Different Context and Issues of the Prophets of the Patria. Government and Opposition, vol. 49, no. 4, pp. 600-629. ISSN 0017-257X. DOI: 10.1017/gov.2013.32.

[10] RODRÍGUEZ-POSE, A., (2018). The revenge of the places that don’t matter (and what to do about it). Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 189-209. ISSN 1752-1378. DOI: 10.1093/cjres/rsx024.

[11] ROODUIJN, M., (2018). What unites the voter bases of populist parties? Comparing the electorates of 15 populist parties. European Political Science Review, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 351-368. ISSN 1755-7739. DOI:10.1017/S1755773917000145.

[12] RYDGREN, J., (2008). Immigration sceptics, xenophobes or racists? Radical right-wing voting in six West European countries. European Journal of Political Research, vol. 47, no. 6, pp. 737-765. ISSN 0304-4130. DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6765.2008.00784.x.

[13] RYDGREN, J., PATRICK, R., (2013). Contextual Explanations of Radical Right-Wing Support in Sweden: Socioeconomic Marginalization, Group Threat, and the Halo Effect. Ethnic and Racial Studies, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 711–28. ISSN 0141-9870. DOI: 10.1080/01419870.2011.623786.

[14] SANTANA, A., ZAGÓRSKI, P., RAMA, J., (2020). At Odds With Europe: Explaining Populist Radical Right Voting in Central and Eastern Europe. East European Politics, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 288–309. ISSN 2159-9165. DOI: 10.1080/ 21599165.2020.1737523.

[15] VAN DER BRUG, W, FENNEMA, M, TILLIE, J., (2005). Why some anti-immigrant parties fail and others succeed. A two-step model of aggregate electoral support. Comparative Political Studies, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 537-573. ISSN 0010-4140. DOI: 10.1177/0010414004273928.

[16] VAN HAUWAERT, S. M. - VAN KESSEL, S., (2018). Beyond Protest and Discontent: A Cross-National Analysis of The Effect of Populist Attitudes and Issue Positions on Populist Party Support. European Journal of Political Research, vol. 57, no. 1, pp. 68–92. ISSN 0304-4130. DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12216.

[17] VAN LEEUWEN E. S, VEGA, S. H., (2021). Voting and the rise of populism: Spatial perspectives andapplications across Europe. Regional Science Policy and Practice, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 209–219. ISSN 1757-7802. DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12411.

[18] 2019 CHAPEL HILL EXPERT SURVEY, (2020). Dataset. [online]. [cit. 2022-03-15]. Available at: https://www.chesdata.eu/s/CHES2019V3.csv.